Wheat Price in Pakistan – July 2025 Edition

Introduction

Wheat is the backbone of Pakistans agricultural economy and the main food source for the majority of its population. In July 2025, wheat prices have drawn significant attention due to sharp fluctuations across provinces. These changes have impacted farmers, flour millers, bakers, retailers, and consumers alike.

From bumper harvests to policy shifts, many factors are influencing the cost of wheat this year. In this detailed blog, we break down current wheat prices in Pakistan, explore why theyre changing, and examine how different groups are affected by these developments.

Current Wheat Price in Pakistan July 2025

As of July 2025, the average market price of wheat per 40 kg (maund) in Pakistan varies across different regions:

• Punjab: Rs. 2,100 Rs. 2,400

• Sindh: Rs. 2,200 Rs. 2,500

• Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Rs. 2,100 Rs. 2,300

• Balochistan: Rs. 2,000 Rs. 2,300

High-quality wheat may reach as high as Rs. 2,600 per 40 kg, especially in districts known for better soil and lower moisture content.

Meanwhile, the price of wheat flour (atta) for consumers ranges between Rs. 55 to Rs. 65 per kilogram, depending on the region, mill quality, and packaging.

Why Are Wheat Prices Fluctuating?

1. No Minimum Support Price

One of the most significant reasons for the recent drop in wheat prices is the absence of a government-fixed support price this year. In the past, the government would announce a minimum rate at which it would purchase wheat from farmers, ensuring they earned a basic profit. However, this year, wheat is being traded purely based on market demand and supply. This policy change has driven prices down and caused dissatisfaction among growers.

2. Record Production

This season witnessed one of the highest wheat outputs in recent years. Favorable weather conditions and timely sowing led to increased yields. This abundance of wheat has saturated the local market, lowering the price due to high supply.

3. Reduced Import Needs

Due to strong domestic output, there is little to no need for wheat imports in 2025. This has protected the local market from international price shocks but has also added pressure to domestic pricing due to oversupply.

4. Higher Cost of Production

Despite good yields, the cost of growing wheat has increased. Farmers report spending between Rs. 3,200 to Rs. 3,600 per 40 kg on inputs like fertilizer, diesel, pesticides, and irrigation. With current selling prices around Rs. 2,300, most growers are facing a direct loss.

5. Climate Impact

Rising temperatures during the sowing season and unexpected dry spells affected crop health in some areas. Although overall production is high, these factors created regional price variations based on quality.

Impact on Farmers

The drop in wheat prices has deeply affected the farming community. For many, selling their crop below production cost means going into debt or being unable to prepare for the next season. Small and medium-scale farmers are particularly vulnerable, as they lack storage facilities and are often forced to sell immediately after harvest.

In response, farmer unions and groups have held protests in several districts, demanding that the government reinstate a minimum support price or offer direct subsidies to cover losses.

Impact on Consumers

On the consumer end, lower wheat prices have resulted in cheaper flour and related products such as roti and naan. For middle- and low-income families, this brings some financial relief at a time when other household expenseslike fuel, electricity, and vegetablescontinue to rise.

However, if farmers reduce wheat cultivation next year due to low returns, the supply may shrink, causing a spike in prices and affecting food security.

Provincial Overview

Punjab

Being the largest wheat-producing province, Punjab experienced the biggest price drop due to bulk harvests. Farmers are facing the most pressure here, with prices dropping below their expected margins.

Sindh

Sindh reported stable prices initially but witnessed a downward shift as wheat from Punjab began entering its markets. Despite better initial rates, oversupply has now affected profits.

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

KPK is mostly dependent on wheat from Punjab and Sindh. Transportation costs push local prices slightly higher, but they remain lower than last years averages.

Balochistan

Due to logistical challenges and lesser local cultivation, Balochistan sees higher retail prices for consumers, although growers still face low buying rates due to limited access to buyers and storage facilities.

Government Measures

Though the government did not set a support price this year, it has taken some actions to control the impact of price fluctuation:

• Release of buffer stock to regulate supply

• Monitoring of flour mill operations to avoid hoarding

• Plans for a revised policy for the next crop season

• Encouragement of private sector grain procurement

These measures aim to stabilize prices without directly interfering in the open market system. However, critics argue that without setting a floor price, farmers will continue to suffer in silence.

Wheat Price Outlook Whats Next?

The wheat price trend in Pakistan for the remainder of 2025 will depend on several factors:

• Farmer Reaction: If wheat farming becomes economically unviable, fewer farmers may grow it next year, reducing supply and increasing future prices.

• Government Policy: Reintroduction of a support price or incentives may help balance future markets.

• Climate Conditions: Weather will play a major role in next seasons sowing and yield success.

• Global Market: While imports are currently limited, any international crisis could affect pricing in 2026.

Experts suggest that while the current rates benefit consumers, the long-term risks of ignoring farmer interests may harm the nations food stability.

Key Takeaways

• Wheat price in July 2025 averages between Rs. 2,100 Rs. 2,500 per 40 kg

• Flour prices are down to Rs. 55 Rs. 65 per kg

• Farmers are selling below their production cost, facing economic losses

• Consumers are benefiting temporarily but may suffer long-term consequences if wheat production falls

• Government actions are limited to supply regulation and monitoring, without direct price intervention

Conclusion

Wheat pricing in Pakistan during July 2025 is a tale of two perspectivesaffordable food for consumers, but major financial stress for farmers. Without a balanced support mechanism, the current system may result in reduced crop output, economic distress in rural areas, and future price instability.

For sustainable food security, Pakistan must adopt a long-term strategy that protects both growers and consumers. Reintroducing price guarantees, improving storage infrastructure, and encouraging climate-smart agriculture could be the path forward.